At last, how many alien civilizations are there?

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Phys.org - 12/03/12, Bruno Martini

At last, how many alien civilizations are there?

Frank Drake writes out his formula for estimating alien life in the galaxy, the Drake Equation.

 

During the space age, 1961 was a special year: the Russian cosmonaut Yuri Gagarin became the first man to orbit Earth, while the American astronomer Frank Drake developed the now famous Drake Equation. This equation estimates the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our Milky Way galaxy, supposing our present electromagnetic detection methods. The Drake equation states:

N = Ns x fp x ne x fl x fi x fc x fL
N = number of alien civilizations in the Milky Way
Ns = estimated number of stars in the Milky Way
fp = fraction or percentage of these stars with planets on its orbits
ne = average number of these planets with potential to host life as we know it
fl = percentage of these planets that actually develop life
fi = percentage of these planets that actually develop intelligence on human level
fc = percentage of these civilizations that actually develop electromagnetic radiation emitting technologies
fL = percentage of these civilizations that keep emitting electromagnetic signals to space. This factor is extremely dependent on the lifetime a civilization remains electromagnetic communicative.
 

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