Space Weather Update~ New Years Fire Ball.... Happy New Year~from the Dragons~

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NEW YEAR'S FIREBALL: The first bright fireball of the New Year streaked over the southwestern USA on Jan. 1st at 03:15 UT. It was visible from Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico. "I was able to see it out my window," reports amateur astronomer Thomas Ashcraft from his rural observatory outside of Santa Fe. "It was brilliant turquoise blue." Ashcraft operates a combination all-sky camera/forward-scatter meteor radar system, which captured the fireball's flight. Click on the image to play the movie--and don't forget to turn up the volume to hear the ghostly radar echo:

 

 

Cameras belonging to NASA's All-Sky Fireball Network also recorded the fireball from multiple locations. An orbit calculated from those data show that the fireball was a random meteoriod hailing from the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter. It hit Earth's atmosphere at 26 km/s (58,000 mph), which is relatively slow compared to other meteoroids, and disintegrated 82 km above Earth's surface.

"This was an auspicious start to 2012," says Ashcraft. "Clear skies and Happy New Year!"

 


Solar wind
speed: 351.0 km/sec
density: 5.7 protons/cm3

explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1515 UT


X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B8
1326 UT Jan01
24-hr: C3 0734 UT Jan01
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1500 UT



Daily Sun: 31 Dec 11



Sunspot 1389 poses a continued threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI



Sunspot number: 68
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 30 Dec 2011

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Since 2004: 821 days
Typical Solar Min: 486 days

Updated 30 Dec 2011

The Radio Sun
10.7 cm flux: 141 sfu

explanation | more data
Updated 30 Dec 2011



Current Auroral Oval:


Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/POES



Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 1 quiet
24-hr max: Kp= 1
quiet
explanation | more data


Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 5.0 nT
Bz: 1.7 nT south

explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1527 UT



Coronal Holes: 31 Dec 11



Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole will buffet Earth's magnetic field from now until ~Jan. 2. Credit: SDO/AIA.


SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts


Updated at: 2011 Dec 31 2200 UTC


FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
40 %
40 %
CLASS X
05 %
05 %



Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm


Updated at: 2011 Dec 31 2200 UTC


Mid-latitudes

 

0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
10 %
MINOR
05 %
05 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %


High latitudes

 

0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
15 %
15 %
SEVERE
15 %
15 %

 

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